Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
market:
Yes 10¢ / No 90¢
· liquidity $43,503 · ends 2027-01-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'consensus of credible reporting' requires multi-source confirmation or whether single credible source reporting suffices.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Definition of 'talk' is clear, but resolution hinges on press verification—'consensus' threshold and qualifying sources undefined; private unconfirmed interactions are ambiguous.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $9,791 · BUY Yes $4,900 · SELL No $1,576 · SELL Yes $1,058. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY Yes
$2,042 @ 14¢
2026-09-12 · 0x89862b43… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions BUY No
$1,520 @ 76¢
2026-07-07 · 0x883454d2… · wallet history: $157,868 redeemed / 35 resolutions BUY No
$1,365 @ 68¢
2026-06-18 · 0x0f2bcf46… · wallet history: $27,000 redeemed / 7 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,000 @ 30¢
2026-06-09 · 0x51de66b7… · wallet history: $9,130 redeemed / 10 resolutions BUY No
$965 @ 66¢
2026-06-17 · 0x5c14eb6a… · wallet history: $164,975 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$940 @ 91¢
2026-08-27 · 0xa9ea2f23… · wallet history: $24,701 redeemed / 57 resolutions BUY No
$900 @ 75¢
2026-07-08 · 0x883454d2… · wallet history: $157,868 redeemed / 35 resolutions BUY No
$797 @ 73¢
2026-06-05 · 0xa5738618… · wallet history: $53,490 redeemed / 155 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-december-31-992-711.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.