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Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

market: Yes 92¢ / No 8¢ · liquidity $45,247 · ends 2026-12-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 'interact with each other in person' requires substantive engagement or merely occupying the same physical space.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

'Interact' is undefined; could range from direct conversation to mere proximity at the same event.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Yes $51,715 · BUY No $6,155 · SELL Yes $5,757 · SELL No $1,761. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY Yes $7,003 @ 86¢ 2026-04-03 · 0x3115e2e9… · wallet history: $90,575 redeemed / 17 resolutions
BUY Yes $6,739 @ 87¢ 2026-07-06 · 0xd44e974a… · wallet history: $5,500 redeemed / 2 resolutions
BUY Yes $5,000 @ 86¢ 2026-04-16 · 0x83d219e2… · wallet history: $36,894 redeemed / 72 resolutions
BUY Yes $2,835 @ 78¢ 2026-01-30 · 0x3d3cf99a… · wallet history: $34,334 redeemed / 30 resolutions
BUY Yes $2,479 @ 79¢ 2026-02-07 · 0x3d3cf99a… · wallet history: $34,334 redeemed / 30 resolutions
BUY Yes $1,840 @ 92¢ 2026-08-06 · 0x5eec1b59… · wallet history: $7,004 redeemed / 28 resolutions
BUY Yes $1,816 @ 79¢ 2026-03-20 · 0x8333521e… · wallet history: $27,463 redeemed / 16 resolutions
BUY Yes $1,742 @ 88¢ 2026-07-20 · 0xd44e974a… · wallet history: $5,500 redeemed / 2 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-zelenskyy-and-putin-not-meet.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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