Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $3,396 · ends 2026-08-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether exact boundary values (2.0M or 2.1M) are included in the range via undefined 'bracket' logic.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Rule references 'brackets' but only one range specified. Phrase 'falls exactly between two brackets' unexplained for single data point.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $695 · SELL No $422. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$695 @ 78¢
2026-08-08 · 0x9e88f359… · wallet history: $593 redeemed / 9 resolutions SELL No
$422 @ 96¢
2026-08-18 · 0x2a58cb03… · wallet history: $10,802 redeemed / 44 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-usd-be-between-2pt0m-and-2pt1m-iranian-rials-on-august-31-20260728205517250.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.