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Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?

market: Yes 12¢ / No 88¢ · liquidity $9,868 · ends 2026-08-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether an exchange rate falling exactly at a boundary (e.g., exactly 2.0M IRR) counts as the 'higher bracket' per tie-breaking rule.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

'Exactly between two brackets' is vague phrasing; unclear if it means on-boundary or equidistant; affects inclusion/exclusion at exact range limits

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $629. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $629 @ 73¢ 2026-08-23 · 0xd72654f5… · wallet history: $11,666 redeemed / 5 resolutions

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-usd-be-between-1pt9m-and-2pt0m-iranian-rials-on-august-31-20260728205517249.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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