unrekt resolver / dossier

Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?

market: Yes 66¢ / No 34¢ · liquidity $2,899 · ends 2026-09-30 · market page ↗
Turns on whether sparse or conflicting media coverage can satisfy the undefined 'consensus of credible reporting' threshold.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Rule truncated mid-sentence at the end; 'consensus' has no quantified threshold (unanimous? majority? any reports?); statements from the individuals could also resolve it, subject to a fuzzy 3-day non-contradiction window and 'in context unambiguously' language.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $2,437 · SELL No $1,624 · BUY Yes $1,604 · SELL Yes $1,300. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $2,437 @ 36¢ 2026-08-30 · 0xe76237f4… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions
SELL No $1,624 @ 24¢ 2026-08-30 · 0xe76237f4… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions
BUY Yes $1,604 @ 79¢ 2026-08-30 · 0xf4d0cfb1… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions
SELL Yes $1,300 @ 64¢ 2026-08-30 · 0xf4d0cfb1… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-trump-speak-to-mark-carney-in-september.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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