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Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his rally with Darline Graham?

market: Yes 100¢ / No 0¢ · liquidity $32,751 · ends 2026-08-21 · market page ↗
Turns on whether remarks Trump makes before the rally's official start time or after its scheduled end count as occurring 'during' the event.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his rally with Darline Graham on August 21, 2026. (https://kutv.com/news/nation-world/trump-rally-in-myrtle-beach-prompts-postponement-of-south-carolina-gop-senate-event-darline-graham-ralph-norman-scgop). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s remarks during his rally with Darline Graham on August 21, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

The rule excludes comments 'outside the named, scheduled event' but does not define the event's exact temporal boundaries (when does the rally start/end per organizers?). Pre-rally warm-up remarks or closing remarks after the formal event ends could be disputed.

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-trump-say-stock-market-during-his-rally-with-darline-graham.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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