unrekt resolver / dossier

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?

market: Yes 100¢ / No 0¢ · liquidity $18,369 · ends 2026-08-28 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 'during the specified appearance' includes pre-speech remarks (arrival, opening comments) and post-speech statements (Q&A, walkabout) or only formal remarks at the lectern.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

Donald Trump is scheduled to attend a ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston on August 28, 2026 at 11AM ET. (https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/nasas-artemis-ii-crew-set-to-receive-congressional-space-medal-of-honor/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's attendance of a ceremony at NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston on August 28, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Rules specify the event but not the temporal boundaries within it. Audio/video resolution source could capture statements outside formal remarks.

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-trump-say-nuclear-during-remarks-at-nasa.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets