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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

market: Yes 4¢ / No 96¢ · liquidity $232,624 · ends 2026-12-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 'announcement made by the United States and Denmark' requires a joint announcement from both nations or if a US-only announcement qualifies.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Phrase 'made by the United States and Denmark' is grammatically ambiguous about whether joint action is required; affects whether a unilateral US declaration counts

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: SELL No $100,904 · BUY No $85,760. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

SELL No $21,955 @ 96¢ 2026-08-03 · 0x410aa391… · wallet history: $13,492 redeemed / 6 resolutions
SELL No $19,221 @ 96¢ 2026-08-18 · 0x328dc4b8… · wallet history: $17,867 redeemed / 5 resolutions
BUY No $19,074 @ 96¢ 2026-08-03 · 0x8b4bca1d… · wallet history: $488,000 redeemed / 3 resolutions
SELL No $15,915 @ 96¢ 2026-08-17 · 0x81f9e2a8… · wallet history: $500 redeemed / 1 resolutions
BUY No $9,570 @ 96¢ 2026-07-28 · 0xc9dcc3d9… · wallet history: $60,000 redeemed / 2 resolutions
BUY No $9,570 @ 96¢ 2026-07-25 · 0xdf17f4a8… · wallet history: $11,042 redeemed / 2 resolutions
BUY No $6,700 @ 96¢ 2026-07-31 · 0x861307b5… · wallet history: $261,872 redeemed / 81 resolutions
SELL No $6,126 @ 96¢ 2026-08-04 · 0x4cd4c369… · wallet history: $69,054 redeemed / 27 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Iran leadership change by March 13? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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