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Will there be exactly 5 North Korea tests in August 2026?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $25,172 · ends 2026-08-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 'exactly 5 tests' means 5 distinct test events or 5 calendar days with tests.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time. If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began. Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify. Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify. Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.

Question asks 'exactly 5 North Korea tests' (counting events) but rules resolve to 'number of calendar days on which...missile launch' (counting days). A day with 3 launches + day with 2 launches = 5 test events but only 2 resolution days.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $1,633. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $414 @ 92¢ 2026-08-25 · 0x926d16cd… · wallet history: $1,617 redeemed / 4 resolutions
BUY No $409 @ 92¢ 2026-08-25 · 0xa542010c… · wallet history: $2,838 redeemed / 5 resolutions
BUY No $405 @ 92¢ 2026-08-25 · 0x2bf438c5… · wallet history: $1,406 redeemed / 3 resolutions
BUY No $405 @ 92¢ 2026-08-25 · 0xef9922bc… · wallet history: $1,879 redeemed / 4 resolutions

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-there-be-exactly-5-north-korea-tests-in-august-2026.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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