Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $8,629 · ends 2026-09-05
·
market page ↗Turns on whether a jobs report of exactly 50,000 falls in the '0 to 50k' bracket or rounds to the higher bracket.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for August 2026, scheduled to be released on September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Boundary ambiguity: rule routes 'exactly between brackets' to higher bracket; unclear if 50k is treated as boundary or midpoint.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-the-us-add-between-0-and-50k-jobs-in-august-1786116586226.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.