UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
market:
Yes 17¢ / No 83¢
· liquidity $50,603 · ends 2026-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether UNSC resolution must explicitly identify the Iran deal or can implicitly/partially endorse it via multiple acceptance verbs.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Multiple resolution criteria ('endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates') lack technical definition; deal identification relies on consensus of reporting.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $20,583 · BUY Yes $12,922 · SELL No $5,744 · SELL Yes $3,588. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$4,976 @ 81¢
2026-08-18 · 0x6d9fc316… · wallet history: $36 redeemed / 1 resolutions BUY No
$3,092 @ 71¢
2026-08-09 · 0x1ee9a5fc… · wallet history: $2,429 redeemed / 18 resolutions SELL No
$2,209 @ 68¢
2026-07-21 · 0x60a92c86… · wallet history: $31,278 redeemed / 27 resolutions BUY No
$2,000 @ 74¢
2026-07-13 · 0x60a92c86… · wallet history: $31,278 redeemed / 27 resolutions SELL No
$1,907 @ 76¢
2026-08-11 · 0x6d9fc316… · wallet history: $36 redeemed / 1 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,900 @ 32¢
2026-07-26 · 0x60a92c86… · wallet history: $31,278 redeemed / 27 resolutions BUY No
$1,755 @ 73¢
2026-08-09 · 0x6d9fc316… · wallet history: $36 redeemed / 1 resolutions BUY No
$1,492 @ 79¢
2026-08-18 · 0xeec50ede… · wallet history: $438 redeemed / 11 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
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market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-the-unsc-adopt-a-resolution-endorsing-the-final-us-iran-deal-by-date.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.