Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
market:
Yes 1¢ / No 99¢
· liquidity $22,820 · ends 2026-09-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'Democratic nominee' includes nominees selected by non-primary methods (convention, caucus) that the rules exclude.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rules resolve only on 'Democratic Primary winner'; if MA uses alternative nomination process, it resolves Other, not based on actual nominee.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $4,253 · BUY Yes $765. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$2,300 @ 96¢
2026-08-22 · 0x9e516146… · wallet history: $9,680 redeemed / 4 resolutions BUY No
$1,008 @ 84¢
2026-08-17 · 0x3dca854f… · wallet history: $157 redeemed / 2 resolutions BUY Yes
$765 @ 30¢
2026-07-25 · 0x1c144e30… · wallet history: $45,964 redeemed / 84 resolutions BUY No
$540 @ 92¢
2026-08-20 · 0xa2ac9772… · wallet history: $21,570 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$406 @ 68¢
2026-07-25 · 0xd23f8c8a… · wallet history: $96 redeemed / 271 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-seth-moulton-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-massachusetts.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.