Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
market:
Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
· liquidity $286,785 · ends 2028-11-07
·
market page ↗Turns on whether winning the nomination without formally accepting it counts as winning, or if acceptance is a separate required event.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
'Wins and accepts' requires both acts; unclear if winning the delegate vote = winning if the nominee later declines.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $71,095 · SELL No $30,780 · BUY Yes $6,385 · SELL Yes $488. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$7,748 @ 98¢
2026-05-22 · 0x3554bd13… · wallet history: $2,736 redeemed / 112 resolutions BUY No
$5,932 @ 99¢
2026-06-05 · 0x0727b3f3… · wallet history: $1,971 redeemed / 40 resolutions BUY No
$5,779 @ 98¢
2026-05-22 · 0xb5b12b64… · wallet history: $3,643 redeemed / 114 resolutions BUY No
$5,112 @ 98¢
2026-05-23 · 0x0b86b930… · wallet history: $1,957 redeemed / 82 resolutions SELL No
$4,690 @ 98¢
2026-08-10 · 0xc6f2e4b6… · wallet history: $163 redeemed / 14 resolutions BUY No
$4,550 @ 98¢
2026-08-11 · 0x5d068cdb… · wallet history: $331 redeemed / 18 resolutions SELL No
$4,545 @ 98¢
2026-08-13 · 0x5d068cdb… · wallet history: $331 redeemed / 18 resolutions SELL No
$3,791 @ 98¢
2026-07-15 · 0x43664f70… · wallet history: $14,726 redeemed / 13 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-ro-khanna-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.