Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
market:
Yes 8¢ / No 92¢
· liquidity $31,363 · ends 2027-01-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether a brief greeting, handshake, or formal photo-op exchange qualifies as 'direct interaction' sufficient for a meeting.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between this market's creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Definition of 'interact' leaves ambiguity: does a ceremonial handshake at a peace negotiation count? Resolution via 'consensus of credible reporting' could be contested if sources disagree on whether substantive interaction occurred.
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-putin-meet-with-zelenskyy-by-december-31-2026.json.
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