Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
market:
Yes 100¢ / No 0¢
· liquidity $218,188 · ends 2026-08-11
·
market page ↗
Turns on when 'results of the special primary are not definitively known' — depends on timing of legal challenges and official certification.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If primary occurs but results not definitive by Nov 2 deadline, resolves to 'Other'; timing of finality is ambiguous
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Yes $66,566 · SELL Yes $29,926 · BUY No $9,995. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY Yes
$11,696 @ 80¢
2026-08-20 · 0x8c77f051… · wallet history: $50 redeemed / 10 resolutions
BUY Yes
$10,460 @ 89¢
2026-08-17 · 0xad89f899… · wallet history: $23,238 redeemed / 8 resolutions
BUY Yes
$6,929 @ 86¢
2026-08-20 · 0x8c77f051… · wallet history: $50 redeemed / 10 resolutions
SELL Yes
$6,207 @ 85¢
2026-08-19 · 0x000d257d… · wallet history: $611,671 redeemed / 10 resolutions
SELL Yes
$6,143 @ 83¢
2026-08-19 · 0x000d257d… · wallet history: $611,671 redeemed / 10 resolutions
SELL Yes
$5,301 @ 77¢
2026-08-20 · 0x23d81ba9… · wallet history: $56,187 redeemed / 3 resolutions
BUY Yes
$4,876 @ 89¢
2026-08-18 · 0xd3a6e523… · wallet history: $164,045 redeemed / 50 resolutions
SELL Yes
$3,986 @ 81¢
2026-08-19 · 0x95bf944d… · wallet history: $206,749 redeemed / 16 resolutions
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market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-person-f-be-the-new-republican-nominee-for-senate-in-south-carolina-20260712140628838.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.