Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
market:
Yes 99¢ / No 1¢
· liquidity $23,072 · ends n/a
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'acquiring control' requires majority ownership vs board representation and whether a 'finalized' transaction means signed contract vs regulatory cleared vs consummated.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Netflix deal explicitly excluded as non-finalized, but finalization threshold is undefined. 'Control' is M&A-ambiguous. Both thresholds could swing which entity/timing qualifies.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-paramount-close-warner-bros-acquisition.json.
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