Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
market:
Yes 2¢ / No 98¢
· liquidity $16,690 · ends 2026-12-26
·
market page ↗Turns on whether coins hitting $1B FDV at the same minute on different platforms (CoinGecko vs CoinMarketCap) are treated as simultaneous or whether platform timing differences determine first.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NetNet (NET) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Fully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as "Fully Diluted Valuation" on CoinGecko and as "FDV" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used.
The coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are:
- Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat
- Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/
- The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull
- NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet
A coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first.
A momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting.
Each coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for.
If no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No" and the "None" market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.
Different coins use different sources with potentially different FDV calculations and refresh rates; minute-level tiebreaker assumes simultaneous observation, but data feeds may diverge; rule text cut off mid-sentence on momentary-crossing conditions.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US strike 4 countries in 2026?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-netnet-be-the-first-to-hit-a-1b-fdv.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.