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Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 4?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $3,996 · ends 2026-08-26 · market page ↗
Turns on whether to use the initial YouTube view-counter reading at the 96-hour mark or the final corrected count after YouTube's anti-fraud view removals.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Rules reference 'the views counter' but don't address whether subsequent corrections by YouTube (for spam/fraud detection) override the number captured at exactly 96 hours.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $850. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $850 @ 85¢ 2026-08-25 · 0x63850ce9… · wallet history: $121,256 redeemed / 71 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-57-and-58-million-views-on-day-4-20260826.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets