Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?
market:
Yes 100¢ / No 0¢
· liquidity $11,800 · ends 2026-08-24
·
market page ↗
Turns on whether 'get...on day 2' means total views accumulated through 48 hours or only views gained during hours 24–48.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Question says 'day 2' but rules specify 'first 48 hours' (cumulative total). These interpretations diverge—'day 2' could mean the 24-hour period alone, while 'first 48 hours' is clearly 0–48h cumulative. Rules resolve ambiguity toward cumulative, but question phrasing invites the marginal reading.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Yes $670. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY Yes
$670 @ 91¢
2026-08-24 · 0xb08428ae… · wallet history: $9,565 redeemed / 16 resolutions
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-43-and-45-million-views-on-day-2-20260824.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.