Will MrBeast's next video get between 39 and 41 million views on day 2?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $13,029 · ends 2026-08-24
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'day 2' in the question aligns with the 48-hour interval in the rules, and when the view count is sampled.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Question uses 'day 2' (calendar ambiguity) but rules specify 'first 48 hours'—no exact timestamp given for measurement.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $3,202. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$1,580 @ 79¢
2026-08-23 · 0xb4d11b2d… · wallet history: $6,469 redeemed / 12 resolutions BUY No
$650 @ 70¢
2026-08-23 · 0xb4d11b2d… · wallet history: $6,469 redeemed / 12 resolutions BUY No
$561 @ 55¢
2026-08-23 · 0x638dc9ee… · wallet history: $20,864 redeemed / 29 resolutions BUY No
$411 @ 70¢
2026-08-23 · 0x638dc9ee… · wallet history: $20,864 redeemed / 29 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
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market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-39-and-41-million-views-on-day-2-20260824.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.