Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $39,592 · ends 2026-09-06
·
market page ↗
Turns on whether YouTube Premieres, community posts, or re-uploaded content count as the 'next YouTube video' under the exclusion of 'previews' and 'other videos.'
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Same video definition ambiguity as 4192209.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $3,543 · BUY Yes $509 · SELL No $464. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$1,000 @ 95¢
2026-09-05 · 0xb08428ae… · wallet history: $10,328 redeemed / 16 resolutions
BUY No
$592 @ 99¢
2026-09-05 · 0xa81eefec… · wallet history: $22,927 redeemed / 8 resolutions
BUY No
$549 @ 60¢
2026-09-06 · 0x30eff89f… · wallet history: $24,759 redeemed / 70 resolutions
BUY Yes
$509 @ 35¢
2026-09-06 · 0xa81eefec… · wallet history: $22,927 redeemed / 8 resolutions
BUY No
$500 @ 90¢
2026-09-05 · 0xb260e618… · wallet history: $24,674 redeemed / 20 resolutions
BUY No
$500 @ 97¢
2026-09-05 · 0xb260e618… · wallet history: $24,674 redeemed / 20 resolutions
SELL No
$464 @ 72¢
2026-09-05 · 0x638dc9ee… · wallet history: $42,007 redeemed / 40 resolutions
BUY No
$402 @ 50¢
2026-09-05 · 0xb08428ae… · wallet history: $10,328 redeemed / 16 resolutions
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-30-and-35-million-views-on-day-1-20260905.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.