Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
market:
Yes 100¢ / No 0¢
· liquidity $76,681 · ends 2026-08-23
·
market page ↗Turns on whether exactly 25M or 30M views are included in '25-30M' bracket via 'higher bracket' boundary rule.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Boundary case handling unclear: does 30M resolve as 25-30M (Yes) or gets bumped to 30-35M (No) under higher-bracket rule?
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Yes $1,810. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY Yes
$888 @ 99¢
2026-08-23 · 0xa81eefec… · wallet history: $47,806 redeemed / 19 resolutions BUY Yes
$475 @ 95¢
2026-08-23 · 0xb4d11b2d… · wallet history: $6,469 redeemed / 12 resolutions BUY Yes
$447 @ 83¢
2026-08-23 · 0x30eff89f… · wallet history: $31,847 redeemed / 51 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-30-and-35-million-views-on-day-1-20260823.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.