Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $96,507 · ends 2026-08-23
·
market page ↗Turns on whether YouTube Shorts or preview videos count as the 'next video' for which day-1 views must be counted.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Rules exclude Shorts and previews but don't specify how to define 'the next video' if MrBeast posts these formats in sequence; which one is the 'next video'?
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $4,693 · SELL No $414. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$1,089 @ 89¢
2026-08-22 · 0x638dc9ee… · wallet history: $20,864 redeemed / 29 resolutions BUY No
$900 @ 90¢
2026-08-22 · 0xb08428ae… · wallet history: $9,565 redeemed / 16 resolutions BUY No
$845 @ 94¢
2026-08-23 · 0x74263916… · wallet history: $48,690 redeemed / 87 resolutions BUY No
$800 @ 83¢
2026-08-22 · 0xb08428ae… · wallet history: $9,565 redeemed / 16 resolutions BUY No
$626 @ 89¢
2026-08-22 · 0x74263916… · wallet history: $48,690 redeemed / 87 resolutions BUY No
$432 @ 95¢
2026-08-23 · 0xb16373f9… · wallet history: $7,794 redeemed / 47 resolutions SELL No
$414 @ 92¢
2026-08-22 · 0xb4d11b2d… · wallet history: $6,469 redeemed / 12 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-25-and-30-million-views-on-day-1-20260823.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.