Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $15,191 · ends 2026-09-06
·
market page ↗Turns on what counts as 'the next YouTube video' if edge cases arise—deleted-and-reuploaded videos, videos edited after posting, or unlisted-then-public.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Same sourcing and definition ambiguity as market 4192210.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-between-20-and-25-million-views-on-day-1-20260905.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.