Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $32,628 · ends 2026-08-24
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'day 2' in the title means hours 24–48 only or encompasses the entire first 48 hours as the rules state.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Title asks about views 'on day 2' (typically second 24-hour period); rules measure 'first 48 hours total'—these differ if views are unevenly distributed across days.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $1,998. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$1,998 @ 100¢
2026-08-24 · 0x1ede425a… · wallet history: $274,925 redeemed / 82 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeasts-next-video-get-at-least-45-million-views-on-day-2-20260824.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.