Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 32 million views on day 2?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $21,778 · ends 2026-09-15
·
market page ↗
Turns on whether 'day 2' refers to the calendar day or the full 48-hour window after posting time.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Survived 100 Days on One Block" by MrBeast Gaming (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJu5VMN3yow).
Question says 'day 2' but rules specify 'first 48 hours after being posted.' If video posts late Monday, the 48-hour mark is late Wednesday (calendar day 3), not calendar day 2 (Tuesday). Edge case on when exactly 'day 2' ends.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-mrbeast-gamings-next-video-get-between-30-and-32-million-views-on-day-2-20260910.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.