Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported in 2026?
market:
Yes 100¢ / No 0¢
· liquidity $30,366 · ends 2026-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether a removal order that is legally in effect but not yet physically enforced counts as 'implemented deportation.'
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Milo Yiannopoulos is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Yiannopoulos from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.
A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Rules distinguish between issuance of an order and its implementation, but 'implemented' could mean either legal enactment or actual removal; edge cases (appeals, voluntary departure after order issuance) aren't fully addressed.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: SELL Yes $2,336 · BUY Yes $1,224 · BUY No $600. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
SELL Yes
$2,336 @ 88¢
2026-08-29 · 0x7d6dd36f… · wallet history: $14,625 redeemed / 15 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,224 @ 80¢
2026-08-28 · 0x6ffb4354… · wallet history: $297,305 redeemed / 132 resolutions BUY No
$600 @ 12¢
2026-08-29 · 0x27798979… · wallet history: $12,343 redeemed / 24 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-milo-yiannopoulos-be-deported-in-2026.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.