Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
market:
Yes 71¢ / No 29¢
· liquidity $26,679 · ends 2026-09-08
·
market page ↗Turns on whether a September 8 primary winner is automatically the 'announced' Democratic nominee, or whether formal party announcement by November 3 is required separately.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules define resolution by primary winner but add a separate Nov 3 announcement deadline. Unclear if primary winner counts as 'announced' or if party must formally nominate after the primary.
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-maura-sullivan-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-nh-01.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.