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Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?

market: Yes 100¢ / No 0¢ · liquidity $14,149 · ends 2026-08-21 · market page ↗
Turns on what 'play Roblox' objective specifically requires as completion criteria and how disputes between streamers over whether objectives are complete are adjudicated.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed have started streaming a gaming gauntlet on August 20, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to play Roblox, win three Rocket League matches, and secure a Victory Royale in a ranked Fortnite match. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete all three aforementioned objectives of the gauntlet live on stream within the specified duration, as displayed on the on-screen timer on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no on-screen timer is visible at the time of completion, this market will resolve according to the number of hours since August 20, 2026, 2:38 PM ET. The objectives may be completed in any order. An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Kai and Speed as complete. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed within the specified duration, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the on-screen timer displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

Roblox objective is undefined ('play Roblox' lacks success condition like the RL/Fortnite tasks). Rule requires 'accepted by Kai and Speed as complete' but doesn't resolve if they disagree.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Yes $3,842. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY Yes $1,069 @ 100¢ 2026-08-21 · 0xc3ff873a… · wallet history: $161,958 redeemed / 83 resolutions
BUY Yes $1,026 @ 94¢ 2026-08-21 · 0xae671ffd… · wallet history: $22,558 redeemed / 46 resolutions
BUY Yes $829 @ 100¢ 2026-08-21 · 0xc3ff873a… · wallet history: $161,958 redeemed / 83 resolutions
BUY Yes $500 @ 100¢ 2026-08-21 · 0xf0d5eb1c… · wallet history: $82,355 redeemed / 60 resolutions
BUY Yes $418 @ 100¢ 2026-08-21 · 0x33e27ac6… · wallet history: $5,437 redeemed / 20 resolutions

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-kai-and-speed-beat-the-gauntlet-within-16-hours.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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