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Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours?

market: Yes 100¢ / No 0¢ · liquidity $19,881 · ends 2026-08-21 · market page ↗
Turns on whether completing 'play Roblox' requires a specific achievement or win versus simply launching the game.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed have started streaming a gaming gauntlet on August 20, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to play Roblox, win three Rocket League matches, and secure a Victory Royale in a ranked Fortnite match. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete all three aforementioned objectives of the gauntlet live on stream within the specified duration, as displayed on the on-screen timer on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no on-screen timer is visible at the time of completion, this market will resolve according to the number of hours since August 20, 2026, 2:38 PM ET. The objectives may be completed in any order. An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Kai and Speed as complete. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it. Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed within the specified duration, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the on-screen timer displayed on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat).

RL and Fortnite objectives explicit (win 3, get victory), but Roblox objective entirely unspecified—no completion threshold.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $2,747. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $1,297 @ 68¢ 2026-08-21 · 0x233bacfb… · wallet history: $1,563 redeemed / 20 resolutions
BUY No $1,000 @ 67¢ 2026-08-20 · 0xce08602e… · wallet history: $79,417 redeemed / 32 resolutions
BUY No $450 @ 61¢ 2026-08-20 · 0xb4fc3b8d… · wallet history: $46,849 redeemed / 25 resolutions

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-kai-and-speed-beat-the-gauntlet-within-12-hours.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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