Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
market:
Yes 99¢ / No 1¢
· liquidity $16,915 · ends 2026-08-18
·
market page ↗Turns on whether exactly 10% or exactly 15% vote share counts as 'winning 10–15%'.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Bracket boundaries undefined; rule references bracket behavior for edge cases but doesn't specify whether 10% and 15% are inclusive or exclusive.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-james-fishback-win-1015-of-votes-in-the-florida-republican-governor-primary-20260701154239341.json.
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