Will Jack Grealish join Everton?
market:
Yes 100¢ / No 0¢
· liquidity $3,757 · ends 2026-09-02
·
market page ↗
Turns on whether a released or retired Grealish (not under contract by Sep 1) who doesn't join a new team resolves to 'Manchester City' (rule 2) or 'Other' (rule 4).
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to the next team Jack Grealish officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Jack Grealish does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester City".
If Jack Grealish joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Jack Grealish is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester City and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Rules 2 and 4 overlap and conflict: rule 2 covers 'no new team' → Manchester City; rule 4 covers 'released/retired' → Other. Priority unclear.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-jack-grealish-join-everton-20260612224328398.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.