Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
market:
Yes 14¢ / No 86¢
· liquidity $9,579 · ends n/a
·
market page ↗Turns on whether Hyperliquid distributions not explicitly termed 'airdrop' count as qualifying if they match the functional description (swappable tokens to holders).
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rules define airdrop by properties (swappable, not NFTs, excludes locked tokens) but don't clarify whether Hyperliquid must use the word 'airdrop' or if meaning-based matching suffices.
Rules arguments from the market's own traders
Substantive resolution-rules commentary from the market's comment section, joined to each
commenter's on-chain position (skin in the game) at collection time. Position ≠ correctness — read the
arguments, weigh the incentives.
Dr.NovaChen no position 2025-11-05
By the platform itself has redefined DeFi incentives .
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $16,879 · SELL No $12,197 · BUY Yes $6,762 · SELL Yes $1,605. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$2,440 @ 71¢
2026-05-02 · 0xe95e726d… · wallet history: $26,899 redeemed / 62 resolutions SELL No
$1,950 @ 61¢
2026-02-16 · 0xe95e726d… · wallet history: $26,899 redeemed / 62 resolutions BUY No
$1,757 @ 88¢
2026-07-18 · 0x22d33cd7… · wallet history: $101,783 redeemed / 10 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,500 @ 75¢
2025-12-14 · 0xf6a5c568… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 2 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,500 @ 75¢
2025-12-14 · 0xf6a5c568… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 2 resolutions SELL No
$1,473 @ 81¢
2026-06-08 · 0x5d5e32dc… · wallet history: $24,615 redeemed / 121 resolutions SELL No
$1,172 @ 80¢
2026-05-27 · 0x73c0620b… · wallet history: $20,044 redeemed / 29 resolutions BUY No
$1,023 @ 34¢
2026-01-01 · 0xe95e726d… · wallet history: $26,899 redeemed / 62 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-hyperliquid-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026.json.
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