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Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $66,098 · ends 2026-08-28 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 25M exactly counts as within the '20-25M' bracket per the tie-breaker rule.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)

Question uses 'between' (typically inclusive both ends), but tie-breaker rule places boundaries in the higher bracket.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $36,364. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $13,078 @ 100¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions
BUY No $6,985 @ 100¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x63850ce9… · wallet history: $121,256 redeemed / 71 resolutions
BUY No $5,695 @ 97¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions
BUY No $2,864 @ 94¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xc8ab97a9… · wallet history: $100 redeemed / 8 resolutions
BUY No $2,157 @ 95¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions
BUY No $1,733 @ 94¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions
BUY No $1,483 @ 97¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions
BUY No $947 @ 95¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xb5f43ad5… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 23 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Iran leadership change by March 13? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-grand-theft-auto-vi-extended-look-get-between-20-and-25-million-views-on-day-1.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets