Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $72,535 · ends 2026-08-28
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'between 15 and 20 million views' includes the exact boundaries (15M or 20M) or excludes them.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)
The rule 'if the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, resolve to the higher range bracket' is ambiguous — it's unclear which brackets are implied, what 'exactly between' means (midpoint? boundary?), and whether the range is inclusive or exclusive at 15M and 20M.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $6,610 · SELL No $939. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$2,484 @ 89¢
2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$1,166 @ 99¢
2026-08-28 · 0x63850ce9… · wallet history: $121,256 redeemed / 71 resolutions SELL No
$939 @ 98¢
2026-08-28 · 0x15683d9f… · wallet history: $3,224 redeemed / 21 resolutions BUY No
$830 @ 83¢
2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$685 @ 86¢
2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$517 @ 84¢
2026-08-28 · 0x67ac9e1a… · wallet history: $391,648 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$489 @ 100¢
2026-08-28 · 0x63850ce9… · wallet history: $121,256 redeemed / 71 resolutions BUY No
$440 @ 88¢
2026-08-28 · 0x15683d9f… · wallet history: $3,224 redeemed / 21 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-grand-theft-auto-vi-extended-look-get-between-15-and-20-million-views-on-day-1.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.