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Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get at least 40 million views on day 1?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $49,507 · ends 2026-08-28 · market page ↗
Turns on whether the market resolves as binary yes/no (≥40M views = yes) or uses discrete bracket-based outcomes.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)

Question phrased as binary ('at least 40 million'), but rules reference 'brackets' and state 'if the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, resolve to higher bracket'—implying multiple outcomes, not binary.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $17,423. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $12,131 @ 100¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xc8ab97a9… · wallet history: $100 redeemed / 8 resolutions
BUY No $3,275 @ 100¢ 2026-08-28 · 0x1ede425a… · wallet history: $274,925 redeemed / 82 resolutions
BUY No $1,280 @ 99¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xdacf9f8d… · wallet history: $53,098 redeemed / 159 resolutions
BUY No $737 @ 99¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xdacf9f8d… · wallet history: $53,098 redeemed / 159 resolutions

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-grand-theft-auto-vi-extended-look-get-at-least-40-million-views-on-day-1.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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