Will GameStop acquire eBay?
market:
Yes 7¢ / No 93¢
· liquidity $62,041 · ends 2026-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether an announced partial acquisition counts if GameStop never actually obtains controlling interest.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that eBay will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with GameStop, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mergers or acquisitions involving eBay or its parent company, eBay Inc., and GameStop or its parent company (if applicable), will qualify.
An announcement by eBay or GameStop within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest in eBay. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from eBay and GameStop; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules state announcement alone triggers Yes ('regardless of whether… it actually occurs'), but partial acquisitions qualify only 'as long as GameStop acquires a controlling interest'—ambiguity on whether announcement or actual acquisition is required for partial deals.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $307,039 · SELL No $42,577 · BUY Yes $12,986 · SELL Yes $5,429. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$93,934 @ 88¢
2026-08-10 · 0xe25b9180… · wallet history: $871,441 redeemed / 8 resolutions BUY No
$51,764 @ 89¢
2026-08-10 · 0x35bbbad2… · wallet history: $10,544 redeemed / 5 resolutions BUY No
$35,200 @ 88¢
2026-08-10 · 0x35bbbad2… · wallet history: $10,544 redeemed / 5 resolutions BUY No
$19,676 @ 87¢
2026-07-24 · 0xcd71fd53… · wallet history: $558,390 redeemed / 22 resolutions BUY No
$13,200 @ 88¢
2026-08-10 · 0xd8e5d96b… · wallet history: $39,442 redeemed / 12 resolutions BUY No
$11,625 @ 91¢
2026-08-10 · 0xeba4f0b5… · wallet history: $67,450 redeemed / 74 resolutions SELL No
$10,428 @ 93¢
2026-08-17 · 0xdf705353… · wallet history: $349,763 redeemed / 26 resolutions BUY No
$9,958 @ 92¢
2026-08-12 · 0xb974a5dd… · wallet history: $51,083 redeemed / 10 resolutions Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-gamestop-acquire-ebay.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.