Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
market:
Yes 1¢ / No 99¢
· liquidity $6,894 · ends 2026-10-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'actively and publicly transferable and tradable' requires actual trading volume/activity or mere technical capability to transfer.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Key terms lack precision: 'officially launches' vs. 'announcement' boundary is fuzzy; 'actively tradable' could mean available-to-trade vs. having active market activity; 'governance token' not defined (requires actual governance rights or just the label?).
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-extended-launch-a-token-by-september-30-2026.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.