unrekt resolver / dossier

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 August 24-30?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $31,732 · ends 2026-08-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether 1-minute candles with closing times in UTC but falling partially within the ET time window are included in the Binance chart view.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Timezone/boundary mismatch: candles opening near 11:59 PM ET close after midnight UTC; unclear if Binance chart will display them as within the Aug 24-30 ET window or not.

Big money on this market

Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $3,382. Displayed as evidence of informed interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.

BUY No $1,678 @ 99¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xebf0a333… · wallet history: $153,275 redeemed / 302 resolutions
BUY No $1,301 @ 99¢ 2026-08-28 · 0xebf0a333… · wallet history: $153,275 redeemed / 302 resolutions
BUY No $403 @ 98¢ 2026-08-25 · 0x06dc5182… · wallet history: $5,320 redeemed / 2 resolutions

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will the US not strike another country before 2027? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2026-12-31

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-ethereum-dip-to-2000-august-24-30-2026.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets