Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $13,878 · ends 2026-09-02 · market page ↗

Turns on whether 'official transfer announcement' or actual completion of the transfer resolves the market.

no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve to the next team Emiliano Martinez officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Emiliano Martinez does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Aston Villa". If Emiliano Martinez joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Emiliano Martinez is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Aston Villa and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Primary rule references when Martinez 'officially joins' a team by Sept 1, but separate rule states 'official announcement...will immediately resolve'—ambiguity if announced deal doesn't complete by deadline.

Disputed precedents with similar wording

Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-12-31

Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-12-31

Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale? resolved NO DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? resolved YES DISPUTED · 2027-01-01

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-emiliano-martinez-stay-at-aston-villa-20260612234358346.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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