Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
market:
Yes 14¢ / No 86¢
· liquidity $20,489 · ends 2027-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether an interim PM later formally confirmed counts as 'formally appointed' versus excluded as caretaker.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Interim/caretaker PM distinction creates confirmation ambiguity.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
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