unrekt resolver / dossier

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?

market: Yes 0¢ / No 100¢ · liquidity $26,302 · ends 2027-01-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether values exactly at the boundary (6.0% and 7.0%) are included in or excluded from the 'between 6.0% and 7.0%' range.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Rule states 'if exactly between two brackets, resolve to the higher range bracket'—unclear whether this means 6.0% and 7.0% resolve YES (boundaries inclusive) or 7.0% resolves NO (excluded as 'higher bracket'). Standard phrasing would clarify inclusive/exclusive.

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-chinas-2026-annual-gdp-growth-yy-be-between-6pt0-and-7pt0.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

unrekt resolver — independent resolution intelligence for prediction markets. We analyse how markets will resolve (rules, wording, precedent), not what will happen. We hold no positions. Every published read is timestamped and graded by the market's actual resolution. all wording-risk markets