Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?
market:
Yes 11¢ / No 89¢
· liquidity $19,998 · ends 2026-12-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether a Trump announcement (e.g., via social media) alone satisfies the requirement that 'the White House announces' the replacement.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rule specifies 'the White House announces' but lists Trump as primary source—ambiguity about whether Trump-only declarations qualify without official White House confirmation.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Iran leadership change by March 13?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-candidate-n-be-the-next-white-house-press-secretary-20260812210720674.json.
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