Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 14-20?
market:
Yes 7¢ / No 93¢
· liquidity $29,850 · ends 2026-09-21
·
market page ↗Turns on whether the exclusion 'Prices from spot markets will not be considered' applies to the Binance spot market named as the resolution source, or only to competing spot markets on other exchanges.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules explicitly use Binance BTC/USDT spot market as resolution source (including direct link to spot chart), then state 'spot markets will not be considered'—direct contradiction that could block resolution.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Iran leadership change by March 13?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2026-12-31
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-bitcoin-dip-to-70k-september-14-20-2026.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.