Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
market:
Yes 14¢ / No 86¢
· liquidity $9,150 · ends n/a
·
market page ↗Turns on what 'actively and publicly transferable and tradable' requires—whether listing on any exchange qualifies or if mainstream/major exchange presence is necessary.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Term is vague enough that a token on a single small exchange vs. major DEX access could be disputed.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
resolved YES
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
resolved NO
DISPUTED · 2027-01-01
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-base-launch-a-token-by-december-31-2026-154.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.