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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

market: Yes 99¢ / No 1¢ · liquidity $15,621 · ends 2026-10-31 · market page ↗
Turns on whether a foldable smartphone by Apple not explicitly branded 'iPhone' counts as a foldable iPhone release.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering

Resolution rules (verbatim)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Question asks specifically about foldable iPhone; rules explicitly allow a foldable Apple smartphone of any branding to qualify—mismatch could affect outcome.

Machine-readable

This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/will-apple-release-a-foldable-iphone-by-october-31.json. Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.

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