Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
market:
Yes 53¢ / No 47¢
· liquidity $49,387 · ends 2027-01-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether minimal or very brief personal interaction (e.g., a handshake with no words exchanged, or greeting through intermediaries) counts as a 'meeting' under the definition of 'interact with each other in person.'
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules define meeting with examples (words, handshake, conversation) but 'personal interaction' remains somewhat subjective; edge cases around interaction duration or mediators could be disputed.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY Yes $6,477 · BUY No $3,982. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY Yes
$1,497 @ 37¢
2026-06-24 · 0x01309d49… · wallet history: $77,340 redeemed / 51 resolutions BUY No
$1,098 @ 61¢
2026-08-20 · 0x0b569c87… · wallet history: $13,713 redeemed / 4 resolutions BUY No
$1,087 @ 66¢
2026-07-02 · 0xd44e974a… · wallet history: $5,500 redeemed / 2 resolutions BUY Yes
$1,023 @ 39¢
2026-06-19 · 0x01309d49… · wallet history: $77,340 redeemed / 51 resolutions BUY Yes
$799 @ 40¢
2026-08-19 · 0x66c1a6fe… · wallet history: $13,539 redeemed / 70 resolutions BUY Yes
$761 @ 41¢
2026-08-22 · 0xeec50ede… · wallet history: $438 redeemed / 11 resolutions BUY No
$747 @ 59¢
2026-08-22 · 0xf767fa80… · wallet history: $134,324 redeemed / 21 resolutions BUY Yes
$700 @ 40¢
2026-06-29 · 0x5e3d9733… · wallet history: $5,874 redeemed / 28 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/trump-meets-with-putin-by-december-31.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.