Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $20,311 · ends 2026-09-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether a public statement announcing intent (e.g., 'I will fire Cook') qualifies as an unequivocal announcement of removal, or whether it falls under the excluded 'statements of intent.'
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules exclude 'statements of intent' but also require 'publicly and unequivocally announces...removal,' creating ambiguity about whether present-tense declarations ('I am firing') vs. future declarations ('I will fire') satisfy the threshold.
Disputed precedents with similar wording
Past markets that went through UMA dispute and share wording patterns with this
market's crux (keyword match v0 — precedent engine is early).
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Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/trump-announces-lisa-cook-termination-by-august-31-20260807185637359.json.
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