Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
market:
Yes 0¢ / No 100¢
· liquidity $116,074 · ends 2026-08-31
·
market page ↗Turns on whether functional incapacity, detention, or effective removal from duties—while remaining nominally President—counts as 'ceasing to be President.'
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules expand 'ceases to be President' to include detention and effective removal without clear thresholds; also notes announcement of resignation resolves immediately but doesn't specify if retraction reverts the resolution.
Big money on this market
Largest recent trades (≥$400). Flow: BUY No $134,132 · SELL No $20,437 · BUY Yes $1,000. Displayed as evidence of informed
interest — NOT trading signals; by the time size is visible, price has moved.
BUY No
$39,274 @ 99¢
2026-08-13 · 0x7e30c3a5… · wallet history: $3,896 redeemed / 3 resolutions BUY No
$14,727 @ 99¢
2026-08-14 · 0xc02147de… · wallet history: $6,000 redeemed / 1 resolutions BUY No
$10,694 @ 99¢
2026-08-18 · 0x410aa391… · wallet history: $13,492 redeemed / 6 resolutions BUY No
$10,000 @ 99¢
2026-08-13 · 0x4c1a4d3f… · wallet history: $0 redeemed / 0 resolutions BUY No
$9,900 @ 99¢
2026-08-12 · 0xb7b8e968… · wallet history: $12,564 redeemed / 6 resolutions SELL No
$7,853 @ 99¢
2026-08-20 · 0xa39c488e… · wallet history: $83,179 redeemed / 6 resolutions BUY No
$5,940 @ 99¢
2026-08-12 · 0xfba638c0… · wallet history: $87,118 redeemed / 15 resolutions BUY No
$5,614 @ 99¢
2026-08-17 · 0xd1049158… · wallet history: $393,789 redeemed / 9 resolutions Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/putin-out-as-president-of-russia-by-august-31-2026.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.