Over $1.5B crypto hack value in 2026?
market:
Yes 100¢ / No 0¢
· liquidity $46,669 · ends 2027-01-01
·
market page ↗Turns on whether 'incidents dated in 2026' uses the hack occurrence date, discovery date, or reporting date to DefiLlama.
no published read yet — crux identified, evidence gathering
Resolution rules (verbatim)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks
The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026.
If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used.
If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Rule specifies DefiLlama as source but doesn't clarify which timestamp field defines 'dated in 2026'—critical for edge cases where incidents occur in late 2025 but surface in early 2026.
Machine-readable
This dossier updates continuously. JSON: /m/over-1pt5b-crypto-hack-value-in-2026.json.
Oracle precedent matches are rolling out.